作者信息:

摘要:

新质生产力对高质量发展具有强劲推动力、支撑力。如何科学把握新质生产力发展现状及时空特征,是加快形成新质生产力的首要任务。基于新质生产力的理论内涵,构建涵盖新质人才资源、新质科学技术、新质产业形态和新质生产方式四个维度的新质生产力发展评价指标体系,运用改进的 Critic-Topsis 综合评价法、Dagum基尼系数和 Kernel核密度估计方法考察中国 30 个省份( 因数据缺失,未含西藏地区港澳台地区) 2012—2021年的新质生产力发展水平、区域差距及动态规律。研究发现:2012—2021年,中国新质生产力发展水平呈现稳步上升态势,但存在不平衡不充分问题,多数省份的新质人才资源、新质科学技术、新质生产方式和新质产业形态制约了新质生产力的发展水平;中国新质生产力发展水平的区域差距呈现不断缩小的态势,东部地区区域内差距最大,东部与东北地区区域间差距最大,30个省份新质生产力发展水平差距主要来源于区域间差距。研究识别了中国新质生产力发展水平及其演变特征,为加快发展新质生产力推进中国式现代化提供政策建议。

关键词:

新质生产力; 科技创新; 高质量发展; 区域差距; 动态规律

Measurement, Regional Difference and Dynamic Evolution of the Development Level of China’s New Quality Productivity

Abstract:

The new quality productive forces is the new driving force to promote the high-quality development of China’s economy. Scientifically measuring the new quality productive forces is of great significance to improve the development of new quality productive forces. Based on the theoretical connotation of new quality productive forces, a new quality productive forces measurement system was constructed from four dimensions of new quality human resources, new quality science and technology, new quality industrial form and new quality production mode, then the improved Critic-Topsis method was used to measure the new quality productive forces of 30 provinces ( Due to the lack of data, the statistical data mentioned here do not include the Tibet Autonomous Region, the Hong Kong Special dministrative Region, the Macao Special Administrative Region and Taiwan Province. ) in China from 2012 to 2021, and finally regional difference and dynamic evolution was analyzed through Dagum Gini coefficient and Kernel density estimation method. The results show that, from 2012 to 2021, the development level of China’s new quality productivity is showing a steady growth trend, and there are problems of imbalance and inadequacy. New quality human resources, new quality science and technology, new quality production mode and new quality industry form restrict the development level of new quality productivity in most provinces. The regional gap of China??s new quality productive forces shows a shrinking trend, with the largest intra-regional gap in the eastern region and the largest inter-regional gap between the eastern and northeast regions. The gap in the development level of China??s new quality productive forces is mainly from the inter-regional gap. It identifies the development level of China??s new quality productive forces and its dynamic evolution, and provides policy implications for promoting Chinese modernization through accelerating the development of new quality productive forces.

Key words:

new quality productive forces; technological innovation; high-quality development; regional differences; dynamic evolution

中国技术经济学会《技术经济》编辑部
2025年3月24日
(审核并签发：黄检良)